Romney Surging With Independent Voters

At Gateway Pundit, "Mitt Romney’s Surge With Independent Voters Is ‘Sharpest Tilt’ Since Reagan’s 1984 Landslide (Video)."

 And from Matt Towery, at LaGrange News, "“Dewey Defeats Truman,” Polls have fatal flaws that hidetrue Romney surge":

While this topic has been covered, it is now time to put real “meat on the bones” to explain why polling in this year’s presidential contest, not just nationally but in many of the battleground states, may be off when compared to the actual results.

Looking at a vast array of polls coming out just two weeks before the presidential election, critically important states such as Florida and Ohio appear to be close and anyone’s guess as to the final result. And while some national surveys, such as Gallup, have shown Republican nominee Mitt Romney running ahead of President Obama by several points, most have the race very tight, and a few have Obama leading. Let’s examine one poll, released as a series of continuing surveys by a large television network joining with a respected national newspaper.

This particular poll, conducted Oct. 17-20, has no intended bias, since it is conducted jointly by both a Republican- and a Democrat-oriented polling firm. But read on, and you will quickly realize how the old style of polling and the way many polls “weight” raw results may be setting us up for one of the biggest polling disasters since the infamous polling blunders that led to the “Dewey Defeats Truman” headline blunder of 1948.

Consider the following, using the above-referenced survey as just an example of how many “big league” polls are conducted. Let’s look first at the questions asked of those who bother to answer the poll.

First, the poll has between 30 and 40 questions in it, depending on which questions a respondent is asked. Considering the fact that most questions take at least 30 seconds to read and some questions ask up to seven sub-questions, at bare minimum it takes 20 minutes to answer and more likely (just a guess) 30 minutes or more for some folks. So what hardworking, productive member of a family, taking care of a business, house or family, has time to spare for such an opus? Likely not the type that fits the profile of a Romney voter.

And it’s hard to imagine a modern and sane cellphone user staying on the line so long — but this poll includes 300 of them. Yeah, that fits my concept of cell users … not.

But let’s continue. This particular survey asks plenty of questions, such as whether the person answering the poll approves or disapproves of President Obama’s job performance and how they feel about both Obama and Romney.

The person responding to the poll has not only been trapped into opining on President Obama’s job approval, but their general “feelings” about the candidates. Now the “jury” is locked in by seemingly leading questions that they likely feel they must reflect when they are finally, several questions later, asked how they would vote for president.

So by the time the one question that will be at the top of ballots nationwide is reached, so many other positions and feelings have been expressed in taking the poll that many taking it might not utter the gut response that ultimately becomes a resolute vote.

Interestingly, in this particular survey, people seem to have much higher “positive or somewhat positive” feelings for the Democratic Party than the Republican Party. But later when they are asked which political party they would like to see control Congress, the split is nearly even.

Toward the end of the survey, we see that the percentage of individuals who identify themselves as “Strong Democrat” or “Strong Republican” is relatively low. More say they lean one direction or another or are independent and either lean toward one of the two parties or are just plain independent.

Many surveys being conducted not just nationally but in battleground states are weighted with a larger percentage of Democrat identified responses than Republican. And many, if not most, underrepresent the percent of voters who say they are independent.

That's pretty much it.

And if GOP enthusiasm lift's Romney's get-out-the-vote efforts over the Democrats, a lot of pro-'Bama poll watchers are in for a world of hurt. .

Leopold Museum in Vienna: 'Naked Man in Art'

At the Los Angeles Times, "'Nude Men' art exhibition in Austria sparks conversation."

Actually, it's not so much sparking "conversation" as controversy. There are giant-sized posters of nude men placed around the city --- even near elementary schools, which brought complaints from parents --- and right at the museum's entrance is a humongous poster of a man sprawling on his back nude, with his junk flopping out, prompting one commenter at a far-left homosexual blog to gasp, "'Imagine the size of his balls'."

The Times even posted a warning at the article, "The Leopold Museum is offering some of the artwork on its website. (Please note the images may be offensive for some readers.) "

You think?

But it's not just the monster-sized images of men in the buff that's disgusting --- placed next to schoolyards for maximum effect. The museum's collection includes photos of men engaged in homo sex acts. Here's the report at Fox News, "It's raining men: Vienna museum draws complaints for plastering city with male nude poster":

VIENNA – Naked men of all sizes and shapes are appearing on Vienna kiosks as a prestigious museum kicks off an exhibit of male nudity.

But outside the exhibition, organizers are being forced into cover-up mode after a storm of complaints that the ad posters are offensive.

In a show titled "Nude Men from 1800 to Today," the Leopold Museum opened its doors Friday to examine how artists have dealt with the theme of male nudity over the centuries.

"Mr. Big" — a four-meter (more than 12-foot) high full-frontal photo mounted on plywood and depicting a naked young man in an indolent sprawl — is set up near the show's entrance, lest there be any doubt what visitors are about to see.

Inside, around 300 art works are on display — including the controversial photograph that is raising the ire of Viennese. Created by French artists Pierre & Gilles, "Vive La France" shows three young, athletic men of different races wearing nothing but blue, white and red socks and soccer shoes. No visitors were complaining Friday as they filed past that photo and even more graphic examples of male nudity, including some depicted in sex acts.

"No complaints."

And why would there be? It's all so cool, homosexual sodomy as public art exhibitionism.

This is European progressivism run amok. And it's not like we don't have such perverse "art" in the U.S. --- the "Piss Christ" exhibit is all the rage among enlightened leftists, but let a filmmaker produce an anti-Muslim video trailer and the wrath of ages is brought down on the "blasphemy." It's pretty f-ked up.

UPDATE: Blazing Cat Fur links, hilariously, "Do You Find Naked Men Offensive?"

Mark Rothko Mural Defaced in Tate Modern gallery

Rothko's my favorite.

I saw this story the other day at Althouse.